Reliability investigation of diesel engines used in dumpers by the Bayesian approach
Abstract
Mining is a global multibillion dollar industry. The growing complexity of mining equipment and systems often leads to failures. As a consequence, reliability, maintainability and availability of mining equipment has come to the forefront (Kunar et al., 2013). Dump trucks are used for transporting ore in open pit mines. The most critical subsystem of these
trucks is the diesel engine. Failure of the engine stops the entire operation which results in loss of revenue from production. For reducing downtime, changes in maintenance policies is necessary (Sevasar, 2013). For changing maintenance strategies of the engine, assessment of reliability of its subsystems becomes vital. In this study, a reliability assessment of an engine and its subsystems is carried out. The engine is divided into different subsystems. Trend analysis of Time Between Failure (TBF) data collected for each subsystem is performed. The engine TBF data are treated into four types of probability distributions: Weibull, Exponential, Normal and Lognormal. The MLE method from Minitab software is used for estimating the parameters of distribution required to determine the reliability of the subsystems. Although the TBF data is collected for three years, the failure data of each engine subsystem contains sparse failure data. Hence, for analysis purpose, the collected
data has been grouped for three of the same types of engines. To supplement the result, 100 failure data examples have been generated by the MCS technique. To estimate the reliability for each subsystem of a single engine without grouping the TBF data, the Bayesian method is used. Using reliability analysis, failure of components of engines is predicted in order to take up maintenance at the right time with an aim to reduce the maintenance cost.
References
Allan, T.M. (2012). Bayesian statistics applied to reliability
analysis and prediction. Principal Engineering Fellow
Report, Raytheon Missile Systems, Tucson, AZ.
Anderson, T.W. (2010). Anderson-Darling Tests of
Goodness-of-Fit, Stanford University. Pp. 1-7.
Barnabas, S.G., Sarathkumar, N., Aswinkumar, N. &
Venkatesh, M. (2012). Failure rate analysis of IC engine
subsystems. International Journal of Modern Engineering
Research, 2(5): 3320-3328.
Charles, E. E. (2000). An Introduction to Reliability and
Maintainability. McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., New York,
Pp- 59.
Crow, L.H. (1975). Reliability analysis for complex
repairable systems (pdf). Army Materiel Systems Analysis
Activity Aberdeen Proving Ground, Maryland, USA.
David, H.O., Tucson. A. & Sorell A. (2001). Warranty
calculations for missiles with only current-status data,
using Bayesian methods. Proceedings of the Annual
Reliability and Maintainability Symposium, Philadelphia,
Pennsylvania, USA, January 22-25.
Dhillon, B.S. & Yang, N. (1997). Comparisons of block
diagram and Markov method system reliability and mean
time to failure results for constant and non-constant unit
failure rates. Microelectron Reliability, 37(3): 505-509.
Dhiren, K.B., Asis, S. & Ambuja, B. (2011). Reliability
investigation for a fleet of load haul dump machines in
a mine. International Journal of Computer Science and
Management Studies, 11(2): 2231-2239.
Emad, E. and Elmahdy & Aboutahoun A.W. (2013). A
new approach for parameter estimation of finite Weibull
mixture distributions for reliability modelling. Applied
Mathematics Modelling, 37: 1800–1810.
estimation in geometric process with Weibull distribution.
Applied Mathematics Computation, 217(6): 2657–2665.
Javad, B. & Uday, K. (2008). Reliability analysis of
mining equipment: A case study of a crushing plant in
Jajarm bauxite mine in Iran. Reliability Engineering and
System Safety, 93(4): 647-653.
Jiqiang, G. (2011). Bayesian methods for system
reliability and community detection. PhD thesis. Iowa
State University Ames, Iowa.
Kuo, W. & Zuo, M.J. (2003). Optimal Reliability
Modelling-Principles and Applications. Wiley, New
Jersey, Pp.1-4.
Kunar, S., Ghosh, G., Mandal, K., Bose, D. & Sau,
S.P. (2013). Measurement and evaluation of reliability,
availability and maintainability of a diesel locomotive
engine. International Journal of Engineering Research and
Technology, 6(4): 515-534.
Maurizio, G. & Gianpaolo, P. (2002). Automotive
reliability inference based on past data and technical
knowledge. Reliability Engineering and System Safety,
: 129-137.
Pradeep, K. & Gaindhar, J.L. (1996). Reliability analysis
of an automotive transmission system. Microelectron
Reliability, 36 (1): 97-100.
Saberi, Z. & Gajali, M. (2013). A conditional Bayesian
approach for testing independence for two-way
contingency table. Kuwait Journal of Science, 40(2): 103-
Sevasar, M. (2013). Modelling and simulation of
maintenance operation at Kuwait public transport
company. Kuwait Journal of Science, 40(2): 115-129.
Uday, K., Bengt, K. & Sven, G. (1989). Reliability
investigation for a fleet of load haul dump machines in a
Swedish mine. Reliability Engineering and System Safety,
: 341-361.
Uday, K. & Bengt, K. (1992). Reliability analysis of
hydraulic systems of LHD machines using power law
process model. Reliability Engineering and System Safety,
: 217-224.